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2024-12-13 04:39:38
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Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.Guan Qingyou: I am optimistic about the stock market by cutting interest rates and lowering the RRR. For example, Guan Qingyou, president and chief economist of the Financial Research Institute, said that lowering the RRR and raising interest rates will definitely happen, and from the downward trend of previous interest rates, it should be faster. Regarding the current market conditions, Guan Qingyou said that different subjects have different judgments on the market trend in one or two trading days, but he is still optimistic, and said that the positive impact of the current policy change on the capital market cannot be underestimated. Combining industrial structure and policy orientation, Guan Qingyou said that consumer companies, technology companies, and mergers and acquisitions involving the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries to emerging formats are all his optimistic directions. In addition, for the economic growth target in 2025, Guan Qingyou believes that "the target of 5% can still be contested". He also said that 2025 will be better than 2024. "In 2025, the adjustment of policies will bring more increments to the market and industry." (sohu finance)The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan for the fifth consecutive trading day.


Black futures fell rapidly in the short term, with the main contracts of hot coil and coking coal falling by more than 1%, and the main contracts of coke, thread and iron ore falling by nearly 1%.German two-year bonds recovered their decline and the yield was flat at 1.95%.ECB: There is no pre-commitment to a specific interest rate path. The investment portfolio of the asset purchase plan declines at a controllable and predictable rate.


Reuters survey: Most economists believe that the tariff proposed by US President-elect Trump has little impact on the British economy; It is estimated that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025, and may cut interest rates by 25 basis points every quarter; A survey of 71 interviewed economists shows that the Bank of England's interest rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.75% on December 19th.The turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded 1.5 trillion yuan for the fifth consecutive trading day.New Cape: At present, the company's revenue from AI products is not high. The new Cape said on the interactive platform on December 12 that the company actively explored in the field of artificial intelligence and gradually established its own AI corpus to support the research and development of intelligent services and products. At present, the company's AI product revenue is not high, which will not have a significant impact on the company's performance.

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